Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 166.975271 182.935619 199.246775 217.133911 236.168313 255.789336 277.514385
2024-12-22 139.980136 163.698193 189.058236 218.066970 250.204811 284.595590 324.053773
2024-12-29 122.468187 152.128757 185.173652 224.407068 269.400498 319.076544 377.750919
2025-01-05 107.589998 141.514225 180.786654 229.016835 286.045640 350.735621 429.047582
2025-01-12 92.740150 129.076179 172.739887 228.110045 295.464193 373.766791 470.662950
2025-01-19 80.583341 118.452058 165.602325 227.200914 304.088088 395.454842 510.720129
2025-01-26 74.125644 114.263187 165.784421 234.797328 322.788431 429.226437 565.594650
2025-02-02 68.072010 109.875904 165.122637 240.881681 339.386052 460.485882 617.809664
2025-02-09 63.109403 106.397119 165.182482 247.545808 356.549923 492.506958 671.312214
2025-02-16 58.521810 102.938936 164.859613 253.400137 372.532827 523.117269 723.395159
2025-02-23 50.366853 93.410402 155.383715 246.207026 370.840946 530.870161 746.512080
2025-03-02 44.247608 86.318352 148.759518 242.371466 373.152310 543.457127 775.630986
2025-03-09 40.115980 82.053355 146.067863 244.036998 383.113953 566.493821 819.056293
2025-03-16 36.742679 78.692038 144.471168 247.116328 395.019149 592.289653 866.529702
2025-03-23 34.877555 77.690038 146.363812 255.270413 414.128539 628.002818 927.577254
2025-03-30 32.640420 75.801682 146.703420 261.037479 429.916165 659.452509 983.423795
2025-04-06 29.305434 71.567507 142.989396 260.440762 436.463342 678.337196 1022.704591
2025-04-13 26.286937 67.565782 139.338228 259.667879 442.574613 696.571786 1061.227737
2025-04-20 25.209467 67.191434 141.655383 268.174373 462.359535 733.955181 1126.077130
2025-04-27 23.917678 66.243963 142.900798 274.955781 479.659940 768.064096 1186.838274
2025-05-04 22.825324 65.577121 144.543598 282.339995 497.915000 803.679199 1249.988048
2025-05-11 21.668708 64.646290 145.637096 288.810015 514.860833 837.627117 1311.195526
2025-05-18 18.581459 59.126953 138.158848 280.906568 509.706912 839.965786 1328.604991